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Original Investigation |

Opioid Dose and Risk of Road Trauma in Canada:  A Population-Based Study

Tara Gomes, MHSc; Donald A. Redelmeier, MD; David N. Juurlink, MD, PhD; Irfan A. Dhalla, MD, MSc; Ximena Camacho, MMath; Muhammad M. Mamdani, PharmD, MA, MPH
JAMA Intern Med. 2013;173(3):196-201. doi:10.1001/2013.jamainternmed.733.
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Background  Use of opioids may predispose drivers to road trauma, yet the effect of opioid dose on this association is unknown.

Methods  We conducted a population-based nested case-control study of patients aged 18 to 64 years who received at least 1 publicly funded prescription for an opioid from April 1, 2003, through March 31, 2011. Cases were defined as having an emergency department visit related to road trauma. Patients without road trauma served as a control group matched to cases by age, sex, index year, prior road trauma, and a disease risk index. We compared the risk of road trauma among patients treated with doses of opioids ranging from very low to very high (<20 to ≥200 morphine equivalents daily). In a subgroup analysis, we stratified our analysis by driver status.

Results  Among 549 878 eligible adults, we identified 5300 cases with road trauma and matched an equal number of controls. Multivariate adjustment yielded no significant association between escalating opioid dose and odds of road trauma (adjusted odds ratio ranged between 1.00 and 1.09). However, a significant association between opioid dose and road trauma was observed among drivers. Compared with very low opioid doses, drivers prescribed low doses had a 21% increased odds of road trauma (adjusted odds ratio, 1.21 [95% CI, 1.02-1.42]); those prescribed moderate doses, 29% increased odds (1.29 [1.06-1.57]); those prescribed high doses, 42% increased odds (1.42 [1.15-1.76]); and those prescribed very high doses, 23% increased odds (1.23 [1.02-1.49]).

Conclusions  Among drivers prescribed opioids, a significant relationship exists between drug dose and risk of road trauma. This association is distinct and does not appear with passengers, pedestrians, and others injured in road trauma.

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Figures

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Figure 1. Study design. The definition of opioid dose was based on all prescriptions dispensed to cases and control subjects with a prescribed treatment duration that overlapped their index date. For each study subject, the total daily dose (converted into morphine equivalents) for each overlapping prescription was summed to generate a total prescribed daily dose. Eligibility in the Ontario Drug Benefit (ODB) database was defined as a minimum of 180 days before the index date.

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Figure 2. Exclusion criteria applied to cases and potential control subjects. ED indicates emergency department.

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Figure 3. Association between opioid dose and road trauma, adjusted for age, past (3 years) hospitalization for alcoholism, past (1 year) emergency department (ED) visit for alcoholism, duration of opioid treatment, medication use in past 180 days (ie, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitors, other antidepressants, antipsychotics, benzodiazepines and other depressants of the central nervous system, separately), number of drugs dispensed in the past 180 days, and numbers of physician and ED visits in the past 1 year. For all comparisons, the reference group includes those who received an opioid dose of 1 to 19 mg of morphine or equivalent (MEQ). *Includes 5300 cases and controls. †Includes 2428 cases and controls. ‡Includes 840 cases and controls.

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Very High Opioid Dosing May Declare Occult Diversion in the Disabled Population
Posted on March 3, 2013
Aaron S. Geller, M.D.
Tufts University School of Medicine
Conflict of Interest: None Declared

Gomes reported progressively increasing risks for motor vehicle accidents (MVA's) paralleling opioid dosing from very low to low dose (21% odds) to moderate dose (29%) to high dose (42%) to very high doses (23%), admirably remarking that seemingly confounding inconsistency between very high prescribed dose relative to low MVA events may reflect occult diversion.(1) Very high dose recipients simply may not be at risk for necessarily dose-dependent opioid-induced adverse cognitive impact related MVA's if they are not consuming the entirety of prescribed narcotics. Gomes reported eligibility criterion of the unemployed, disability income-receiving population.  What is perplexing is that very high dosing, if truly consumed, should effect greater pain relief, with discard of pain-related disability and return to full-time work function, obviating inclusion in Gomes' study. 

A unifying hypothesis reasonably explaining the disparate findings is that of diversion. Attentive physicians strive to limit opioid doses, given the recent epidemic of opioid deaths and options to offer compassionate, necessary non-narcotic treatment. Unemployed, very highest dose solicitors viewing opioids as supplemental income may be declaring occult diversion by dosing requests, effectively informing clinicians that they are not viable opioid candidates for reasons of public safety.The epidemic of deaths markedly afflicts the non-patient addict consumer and the source is often diversion. Illegitimate unintended prescription opioid recipients obtain narcotics from non-physicians, such as individuals masking as patients, and constitutes the majority of abusers.(2)   Approximately 40% of deaths occur in individuals abusing opioids obtained through felonious doctor shopping and drug diversion.(3)  If permitted, the clinician is the tool of access. Future research may further substantiate the hypothesis if, relative to lower dose patients, very high dose recipients, preferentially and statistically significantly, solicited hydromorphone or fentanyl, given appreciable diversion value relative to negligible street interest in abuse-resistant opioid products.(4) Similarly, given the considerable abuse mitigation properties of a combination of acetaminophen with oxycodone or acetaminophen with hydrocodone,(5), it would be invaluable to investigate if very high dose recipients preferentially solicited ubiquitously, highly abusable short half-life generic oxycodone bereft of acetaminophen. 

Gomes' study design also should be applied to an employed patient population.Gomes' evidence presents a need for caution and further study as a significant percentage of deaths are diversion related. Gomes indirectly supports that unemployed disability patients soliciting very high dosing may simply not be suffering dose-dependent adverse side effects of opioids or appreciating opioid-conferred objective functional improvement to discard disability as they are diverting their prescriptions.

1. Gomes T, Redelmeier DA, Juurlink DN, et al. Opioid dose and risk of road trauma in Canada. A population based study. JAMA Intern Med. 2013 Feb. 11;173(3):196-201.

2. Huang B, Dawson DA, Stinson FS, et al. Prevalence, correlates, and comorbidity of nonmedical prescription drug use and drug use disorders in the United States: results of the national epidemiological survey on alcohol and related conditions. J Clin Psychiatry 2006 July;67(7):1062-1073.

3. Manchikanti L, Helm S 2nd, Fellows B, et al. Opioid epidemic in the United States. Pain Physician. 2012 Jul;15(3 Suppl):ES9-38. 

4. Cicero TJ, Ellis MS, Surratt HL. Effect of abuse-deterrent formulations of OxyContin. N Engl J Med. 2012 Jul 12;367(2):187-189.

5. Houlton JJ, Donaldson AM, Zimmer L, Seiden A. Intranasal drug-induced fungal rhinopharyngitis. Int Forum Allergy Rhinol. 2012 Mar-Apr;2(2):130-134.

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